FYPD Risers, Fallers & Updated Top 100 Dynasty Fantasy Baseball Rankings For 2025

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Image credit: Cam Smith (Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images)

With the start of the 2025 MLB season just around the corner, dynasty draft season has by and large come to pass over the last month. This means that we have a better idea of how this offseason’s first year player drafts played out. A majority of these drafts take place between late December and late February, and primarily feature recent draftees and international signees.

The goal of this exercise is to take a final look heading into the season and identify which prospects have seen the greatest helium bump this spring. Even if you’ve already completed your draft, a full offseason is a long time, and younger players still in their infancy as professionals tend to make significant improvements in a matter of just a few months, so it’s worth noting how stocks are rising and falling.

What To Expect From 2024 MLB Draft Picks In 2025

Carlos Collazo goes pick-by-pick through the top of 2024 draft class to set expectations for the upcoming season.

Let’s look at who’s trended up, who’s trended down and why.

FYPD Risers

Cam Smith, OF, Astros

Smith has quickly established himself as the top hitter in a loaded class for college bats. After putting together the best post-draft debut of any draftee, Smith has continued to trend upward in 2025, as he hit .342/.419/.712 with four home runs this spring. He is now on the precipice of breaking camp with the Astros, and if he does not, he likely faces only a short tenure in the minor leagues. Smith’s seen a meteoric rise over the last year, as he impressed in the Cape Cod League, during his final season at Florida State and then again across each level of professional competition he’s faced. The biggest knocks on Smith are in the defensive side of the ball, where his above-average running ability and athleticism likely fit in his new home in the outfield. The Astros knew what they were doing when they targeted Smith in the Kyle Tucker trade and could have his long-term replacement in tow almost immediately. Smith has the upside, skills and athleticism to blossom into a star.

Konnor Griffin, OF, Pirates

The Pirates have had a very checkered history in recent years with positional prospects selected in the top 10 of the draft. Griffin looks to be flying in the face of that narrative early in his professional career. Over the course of spring training, no player this side of Cam Smith has been as impressive as Griffin. I came away from two weeks in Florida believing he has the highest upside of any player in the 2025 FYPD class—including Roki Sasaki. He does still present more risk than both Sasaki and Smith, as well as a longer ETA, but it would be foolish to ignore the drastic improvements this uber-athlete has made in the last calendar year. His swing looks significantly cleaned up, as he sequences well and remains stacked in his load. Griffin also showed solid plate approach and the ability to hit for power. He’s an easy plus runner that strides like a gazelle on the base paths and outfield grass. This is a true five-tool type of player, should the hit tool continue to trend, it could be average or better. If everything clicks Griffin might have first-round fantasy upside at peak.

Bryce Rainer, SS, Tigers

The top prep shortstops showed out this spring, and Rainer was impressive over the last few weeks during Spring Breakout and backfield play. While Konnor Griffin has been moved to the outfield, Rainer remains in the dirt. The Tigers’ 2024 first-round pick showed an advanced hit tool and a clean, balanced swing throughout our looks. He’s not as athletic or twitchy as Griffin, however, and there’s some stiffness in his movements. While it’s a tired comparison, he has Corey Seager-type of skills both at the plate and in the field. He hits the ball hard consistently and knows how to find the barrel. He moves well and could likely add some muscle in the coming years, unlocking more power without sacrificing his plate skills.

Jac Caglianone, 1B, Royals

While there’s still reason to be skeptical, Caglianone was impressive this spring. His combination of bat-to-ball ability and outlier strength have allowed him to crush baseballs to all parts of the field. Our initial skepticism around Caglianone was rooted in his history of questionable swing decisions. While that looks to have improved heading into the season, it will still be interesting to see if higher-level pitchers find an area to attack. That said, you simply can’t make a mistake to Caglianone without him making you pay. He’s just at the end of the second tier of hitters in this class behind Rainer and JJ Wetherholt.

Trey Yesavage, RHP, Blue Jays

Between the Spring Breakout and one backfield start, the Blue Jays Trey Yesavage has proved he’s healthy and ready for a good 2025. The Blue Jays 2024 first rounder sat mid 90s on his four-seam fastball, touching 97 mph at peak with over 20 inches of induced vertical break consistently. His splitter is a true swing-and-miss weapon and out pitch. He showed a pair of breaking ball shapes that were both effective and consistently in the zone, as well. Yesavage does not have top-of-the-rotation upside like others on this list such as Roki Sasaki, Chase Burns or Hagen Smith, but he does have midrotation upside and a very high likelihood of being a starter in the big leagues with a long career. 

Payton Tolle, LHP, Red Sox

There’s a new SP8 in Tolle, and what he showed in backfield games this spring has many tuned into where he’s assigned out of camp. Tolle showed a significant velocity bump on his four-seam fastball with outlier extension, and his ability to dominate with it sets up the rest of his arsenal well. A former two-way player with a large, physical build, Tolle fits the starting pitching archetype to a tee. Could he be the pitcher from outside the first round that gains the most helium in 2025? That’s where I’m placing my bets at the moment. Tolle’s improvements led to him making the largest jump on the list, pushing up 36 spots.

FYPD Fallers

Travis Bazzana, 2B, Guardians, Nick Kurtz, 1B, Athletics and Chase Burns, RHP, Reds

Bazzana and Kurtz remain excellent fantasy prospects and slide down a only few spots behind both Smith and Griffin. Neither can match the upside or complete nature of Smith or Griffin’s potential production, however. This doesn’t change the evaluation of either, as both have all-star potential, but they are more likely to be top 50 players at peak versus top 25 or higher. Burns, meanwhile, also slid a couple spots due to the push on both Smith and Griffin, but he remains the best pitcher in this class outside of Sasaki. We received only limited looks on Burns this spring, but what we did see was electric

Charlie Condon, OF, Rockies

With news of his recent wrist injury, Condon has continued to slide. At the moment, he’s probably priced appropriately in moving to 13 on this list, just at the edge of the drop off in available talent. While there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical about Condon between his rocky debut and recent struggles with health, this might be the first reasonable buying opportunity for the former college superstar. The risk is lessened by the price drop, making this an opportune period to potentially buy Condon at his lowest price point. 

Hyeseong Kim, SS, Dodgers

The Dodgers sending Korean import to Triple-A to begin the season has his stock plummeting. Managers that drafted Kim didn’t anticipate a minor league stint to begin his North American professional career. Now he offers less upside that players drafted around him with a significant downgrade in potential ETA.

More Names To Know

Based on anecdotal evidence from FYPDs I’ve either participated in or reviewed, I’ve noticed a number of players finding themselves as hotter targets than we first anticipated. Those names include:

Updated 2025 FYPD Rankings

rankplayerpositionteam
1Roki SasakiRHPDodgers
2Cam SmithOFAstros
3Konnor GriffinOFPirates
4Travis Bazzana2BGuardians
5Nick Kurtz1BAthletics
6JJ WetherholtSSCardinals
7Chase BurnsRHPReds
8Bryce RainerSSTigers
9Jac Caglianone1BRoyals
10Christian Moore2BAngels
11Braden MontgomeryOFWhite Sox
12Hagen SmithLHPWhite Sox
13Charlie CondonOFRockies
14Elian PenaSSMets
15Josuar GonzalezSSGiants
16Theo GillenSSRays
17Trey YesavageRHPBlue Jays
18Seaver KingSS/3BNationals
19Ryan WaldschmidtOFD-backs
20Ryan SloanRHPMariners
21Carson BengeOFMets
22Slade CaldwellOFD-backs
23Jurrangelo CijntjeSHPMariners
24James Tibbs III1B/OFGiants
25Vance HoneycuttOFOrioles
26Tommy White3BAthletics
27Tomoyuki SuganoRHPOrioles
28Payton TolleLHPRed Sox
29Yorger BautistaOFMariners
30Chris RodriguezOFTigers
31Griffin BurkholderOFPhillies
32Diego TornesOFBraves
33Brody BrechtRHPRockies
34Kellon LindseySS/OFDodgers
35Luke DickersonSSNationals
36Tyson LewisSSReds
37Cole Mathis1B/RHPCubs
38JD DixSSD-backs
39PJ Morlando1B/OFMarlins
40Cam CaminitiLHPBraves
41Kale Fountain3BPadres
42Caleb BonemerSSWhite Sox
43Dante NoriOFPhillies
44Ryan ForcucciRHPAstros
45Braylon DoughtyRHPGuardians
46Wilfry De La CruzSSCubs
47Billy Amick3BTwins
48Dakota JordanOFGiants
49Kaelen CulpepperSSTwins
50Andrew SalasSSMarlins
51Kash MayfieldLHPPadres
52Kyle DeBargeSSTwins
53Carson DeMartini3BPhillies
54Hyeseong KimSSDodgers
55Casey SauckeOFWhite Sox
56Braylon PayneOFBrewers
57Bryce CunninghamRHPYankees
58Joey OakieRHPGuardians
59Dylan DreilingOFRangers
60Ethan Anderson1B/COrioles
61Ben HessRHPYankees
62Kendry MartinezSSMariners
63Blake Burke1BBrewers
64Malcolm MooreCRangers
65Levi SterlingRHPPirates
66Jonathan SantucciLHPMets
67Dasan HillLHPTwins
68Chase MobleyRHPGuardians
69Owen HallRHPTigers
70Bryce MeccageRHPBrewers
71Mike SirotaOFDodgers
72Gage JumpLHPAthletics
73David ShieldsLHPRoyals
74Cole MessinaCRockies
75Joseph SullivanOFAstros
76Gabriel DavalilloCAngels
77Drew BeamRHPRoyals
78Chris CortezRHPAngels
79Jared ThomasOF/1BRockies
80Warren CalcanoSSRoyals
81Carter JohnsonSSMarlins
82Josh Kuroda-GrauerSSAthletics
83Johan De Los SantosSSPirates
84Luke HolmanRHPReds
85Cristopher PolancoSSBlue Jays
86Tytus CissellSS/OFDiamondbacks
87Rodney Green Jr.OFAthletics
88Kevin AlvarezOFAstros
89Kyle HartLHPNC Dinos
90Ryan JohnsonRHPAngels
91Jakob Christian1B/OFGiants
92Manny CedenoSSYankees
93Daniel EagenRHPD-backs
94Carter FrederickOFRoyals
95Conrad CasonSS/RHPRed Sox
96Chase AllsupRHPOrioles
97Brayan CortesisSSNationals
98Nick McLainOFWhite Sox
99Khal StephenRHPBlue Jays
100Chase Harlan3BDodgers
Download the rankings here.

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